Pokémon TFG: Analysis of figure distribution in boosters: Difference between revisions

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{{Article|
{{Article|
type=editorial |
type=editorial |
picture=Tradingfigurelogo.jpg |
picture=Tradingfigurelogo.png |
weekday=Friday |
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{{CategorizeIn|TFG|10|06}}
{{CategorizeIn|TFG|10|06}}
{{CategorizeIn|Editorials|10|06}}
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{{EditorialBy|Archaic}}
 
[[Image:Tradingfigurelogo.jpg|thumb|right|Pokémon Trading Figure Game logo]]
[[File:Tradingfigurelogo.png|thumb|right|Pokémon Trading Figure Game logo]]


Hello everyone. This will be the first of a series of weekly articles I intend to write on the [[bp:Pokémon Trading Figure Game|Pokémon Trading Figure Game]]. Let's see if I can actually manage to keep to that schedule. Most will not be quite as serious as this, but I felt that there wasn't any good reason to delay the publication of this information as a warning to other people who've already started to get into the game.
Hello everyone. This will be the first of a series of weekly articles I intend to write on the [[bp:Pokémon Trading Figure Game|Pokémon Trading Figure Game]]. Let's see if I can actually manage to keep to that schedule. Most will not be quite as serious as this, but I felt that there wasn't any good reason to delay the publication of this information as a warning to other people who've already started to get into the game.


During the [http://www.pokemontour.nintendo.com.au Journey Across Oz] Pokémon 10th Anniversary tour, I was employed by [http://www.croftminstr.com.au Croftminster] (the company that is responsible for the distribution of the [[bp:Pokémon Trading Card Game|Pokémon Trading Card Game]] in Australia) to demonstrate the new Pokémon Trading Figure Game at the two events held in Brisbane. As part of my payment for running these demonstrations I recieved an entire box of Pokémon TFG boosters containing four individual cartons of eight boosters each for a total of 32 boosters and 64 figures. In terms of value, each carton of boosters is roughly equivalent to a booster box of the TCG.
During the [http://pokemontour.nintendo.com.au Journey Across Oz] Pokémon 10th Anniversary tour, I was employed by [http://www.croftminster.com.au Croftminster] (the company that is responsible for the distribution of the [[bp:Pokémon Trading Card Game|Pokémon Trading Card Game]] in Australia) to demonstrate the new Pokémon Trading Figure Game at the two events held in Brisbane. As part of my payment for running these demonstrations I recieved an entire box of Pokémon TFG boosters containing four individual cartons of eight boosters each for a total of 32 boosters and 64 figures. In terms of value, each carton of boosters is roughly equivalent to a booster box of the TCG.


After having noticed a number of irregularities when purchasing my own boosters in stores, specifically issues with Poison and Paralyze counters (an issue of which the manufacturers are now aware) and odd distributions of some figures, I decided to use this box to do some serious study so we wouldn't just be speculating in the dark. While the results and conclusions I may draw from a single carton may not be enough to reach any definitive position, I believe it's quite obvious from the data I've collected that there are issues that need to be corrected before the sale of this game in America and Japan.
After having noticed a number of irregularities when purchasing my own boosters in stores, specifically issues with Poison and Paralyze counters (an issue of which the manufacturers are now aware) and odd distributions of some figures, I decided to use this box to do some serious study so we wouldn't just be speculating in the dark. While the results and conclusions I may draw from a single carton may not be enough to reach any definitive position, I believe it's quite obvious from the data I've collected that there are issues that need to be corrected before the sale of this game in America and Japan.
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* Total = 0 x EX Rare, 4 x Rare, 4 x Uncommon, 8 x Common
* Total = 0 x EX Rare, 4 x Rare, 4 x Uncommon, 8 x Common


This unusual distribution of the figure rarities among the cartons would seem to be caused by the tendency toward boosters being likely to contain at least one figure from boosters adjacent to it in its layer, the booster immediately above or below it inside its own carton and the boosters adjacent to it in the adjacent cartons. While I haven't subjected this to any substantial mathematical analysis at this time, simply due to the lack of sufficient data, looking at what we have, it's obvious that the likelihood is statistically significant.
This unusual distribution of the figure rarities among the cartons would seem to be caused by the tendency toward boosters being likely to contain at least one figure from boosters adjacent to it in its layer, the booster immediately above or below it inside its own carton and the boosters adjacent to it in the adjacent cartons. While I haven't subjected this to any substantial statistical analysis at this time, simply due to the lack of sufficient data, looking at what we have, it's obvious that the likelihood is statistically significant.


=More data=
=More data=
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=Conclusion=
=Conclusion=
In conclusion, I believe the above documented box of the Pokémon Trading Figures to be concrete evidence that there are systematic problems in the distribution of the Pokémon Trading Figures within the two-figure booster packs. While there may be no problems in the overall distribution of figure rarities, the likelihood of anyone finding identical figures in boosters purchased is unacceptably high to the point where trading of figures between friends and people at leagues will likely be hampered. These people probably would have purchased them from the same store and the same stock of boosters. No doubt this will lead to those who find themselves on virtual gold mines of rare figures (see the example in the postscript) purchasing large quantities of boosters, allowing them to control trade and on-selling of individual figures at a level totally beyond what we've ever seen for the Pokémon TCG.
In conclusion, I believe the above documented box of the Pokémon Trading Figures to be concrete evidence that there are systematic problems in the distribution of the Pokémon Trading Figures within the two-figure booster packs. While there may be no problems in the overall distribution of figure rarities, the likelihood of anyone finding identical figures in boosters purchased is unacceptably high to the point where trading of figures between friends and people at leagues will likely be hampered. These people probably would have purchased them from the same store and the same stock of boosters. No doubt this will lead to those who find themselves on virtual gold mines of rare figures (such as the person from my local league above) purchasing large quantities of boosters, allowing them to control trade and on-selling of individual figures at a level totally beyond what we've ever seen for the Pokémon TCG.